Quick tab clearing round up

• Meanest quote: they "breed like flies but die in the same way.”
• Joaquin Murietta
• The funniest thing I read on Sunday "A small group of the SOF participated in mass nudity and arson as means of protesting against materialism". Mass nudity and arson! Probably not at the same time though.
• Why the camera adds 10 pounds.
• Bikes must ride single file on Columns Drive
  

"I get real depressed and tell everybody"

That's my favorite line on Tommy Womack's latest album "There I Said It". I like this album a lot. Womack has been on my top three list of favorite living songwriters for several years now, and this is probably his best work to date. It's a bit more electric than much of his prior work, which usually i don't like but it works quite well on this album.

For those of you not familiar with Tommy, he was in the bands Government Cheese and the Bisquits and also worked with Jason Ringenberg on several albums. He's had five (I think) solo releases; all very good. I'd ordered several of his other albums through his website and he was nice enough to send me an advance copy of There I Said It several months before it came out. I think it's his best yet. He's one of the very few non-bluegrass artists I listen to at this point in my musical life.

I think this is the only album review I've done on the blog to date.

The elephant is almost eaten

And my crushing workload is almost abated. In the meantime, this guy was on my roof a few days ago.

Swamped

Work comes at me from all sides, but as the saying goes "I'll sleep when they drive a stake through my heart". Here are some recent photos. The Safe Place one is kind of creepy.

Quick tab clearing roundup

• The Sunni-Shia Quiz - I got a 100!
• Private solutions to Global Warming
• Ron Paul is running for president! Finally a good republican.
• Engineering Quotes
• Woman Fired For Writing About Avoiding Work
  

Response to Subadei

Subadei was kind enough to post about my earlier Iraq thoughts.

As the power vacuum created by US withdrawal is quickly filled by the Shia we'll see a down turn in sectarian violence not the ethnic cleansing many fear. Once they have political control of Iraq what do the Shiites stand to gain through annihilatory tactics waged against the Sunni minority? Such actions would certainly provoke Jordan and Syria as the refugee flood becomes a tidal wave. The Sauds are already waving their fists in response to Sunni deaths at the hands of Shiites and their perceived threat of Iran's growing influence.

Actually I don't see the Shia filling the power vacuum created when the US leaves. The Iraqi Sunni are quite adept at wreaking havoc and I think that would increase with the US gone. The threat we pose is political, whereas the Shia threat is existential.

I also think I misused the word "state" inaccurately. Most likely the three areas would be a Shia state in the South, a Kurdish one in the north, and a wild, violent region in the middle. I don't see the Shia (large, unorganized, and ununited) being able to impose a monopoly of violence against a more organized and much more united (smaller in size) Sunni region. Especially if the Saudis and AQ are able to make spoiling attacks and fund the warring factions.

An interesting movie

I finally finished watching the documentary Bastards of the Party, an interesting history of gang activity in Los Angeles from the 40s to the present day. It's not a balanced take and doesn't pretend to be, which is quite refreshing.

One quibble - the historian explaining the rise of crack traced it back to Iran-Contra and the CIA-crack folklore. I've always found this ridiculous. It assumes that the government was that clever (doubtful) and also that no one else would have thought of taking a commodity that sells for five cents in South America and selling it for fifty dollars in the US.

Beyond that though, well worth watching.

Quote of the moment

Paraphrased from Brink Lindsay:

Conservatives and liberals both want to return to the 50s. Liberals want to work there and conservatives want to live there.

Interesting...

Possible breaks in the Erie Collar Bomb Case. Of course, the cops are being coy.

I make the big time

And get meaningfully quoted and answered by another blogger. Thanks Subadei! I'll have my response soon.

Back up

I'm back from being without the internet all day, oh how I missed it. To celebrate, check out the Frank Zappa statue in Vilnius Lithuania. (via Coming Anarchy)

New favorite deal site

The new one is UberBargain. They found a one Terabyte hard drive array for less than five hundred dollars.

Quote of the moment

Stephen Chapman

the GOP has morphed from a party that reveres limited government to a party that is girlishly infatuated with executive authority.

via Althouse

Growl

I've been stuck trying to upgrade Office 2007 for the past 10 hours now. For some reason the Groove files are un-deletable. The Microsoft general knowledge base article on uninstalling Office is here.

Three things

• The US government converts the leader of a one million member Afghan tribe from an ally to an enemy in Afghanistan. Why aren't we just buying the opium and then burning it or selling it for legitimate purposes (there are some)? It would be much cheaper than the current fight, and also make the Afghan farmers in the most hostile areas utterly dependent on the US. Where is Nixon when you need him?
• The Snake Eater - an army of Davids helps out in the Iraq war. From concept to completion in only 30, very cool.
• Japanese Snowplow Robot!
  

A good read on hydrogen

Check out this article on New Atlantis, they do the numbers on what it would take for hydrogen to work. It doesn't seem likely.

A useful meme for ideological bloggers

I think it would be useful to list the downsides of your own ideology, specifically, who would be hurt if all of one's policy ideas would be enacted. I don't mean the left saying that rich people wouldn't like paying their fair share of taxes, or social conservatives saying that adulters wouldn't like jail (or whatever), but more along the lines of the isolationist saying that tens of thousands of Iraqis would be killed if there were an immediate pullout from Iraq.

I'll have my list soon. I dub the meme "Napoleon's Sink".

The current cold spell

The recent proclamation from on high proclaiming Global Warming is real, because it just is, seems to have brought on a nationwide Gore Effect.

Current Iraq thoughts

To update my many readers of my thoughts on Iraq, here they are.

Short and Medium Term Recommendation:

• Accept the fact that a multi-ethnic democracy with strong group loyalties and a medium to high population density that has no overriding equalizer, (i.e. a market economy, strong religion, nation of uprooted immigrants, cult like leader, animosity towards some other country or religion etc) is a very bloody affair.
• Let the country break apart into a very loose confederation, - There will probably be one to 3 Shia distinct regions in the South, 6-12 distinct Sunni regions and one distinct Kurdish region. Withdraw to the friendly areas, i.e. Kurdistan and probably a couple of Sunni areas and let the various sides fight it out. They're doing this anyway and there is no need for American troops to get caught in the crossfire.
• Accept the fact that there will be massive ethnic cleansing with the above option, much is happening already. Do as much as possible within some give time frame, say 10 months to let the ethnic cleansing be as bloodless as possible and not verge into genocide. This is going to happen anyway, many lives could be saved if we do it on our terms.
• Drop the 60s idealism (called nation-building/neoconservatism, or whatever baby boomer term you want to label it) and admit that what is happening in Iraq IS democracy, it's just bloody and ugly. Diversity only works if no one cares about the differences between people. Primary loyalties are primary.
• I think Robert Kaplan thought of this first, but the proper metaphors for the current Middle East is not WWII, but the Barbary Pirates and the Indian Wars. I.E. it's time to think small, and act small. Also, let the military get back to what it's good at, i.e. killing people and breaking things.
  
• Reward our friends and punish our enemies, but above all, be clear in our foreign policy. We would be well served by coming off of our high horse (bringing democracy, enlightenment, etc) and admitting that we're in pursuit of our own interest, just like everyone else. We've long believed our own hype about our own greatness. While largely true domestically (thank you founding fathers and your division of power) it is much less true internationally due to the way our system is set up. Most of the good things we do are diffused in the form of trade and a myriad of private charities. It's time to say less and to behave much more predictably. Cross cultural communication is hard enough without adding nuance and tone into the equation.
  

Long Term Recommendations

• Get out. The Coase theorem applies to the Middle East just like everywhere else. We're buying our oil now and we'll be buying it in the future. And contrary to popular belief, it will be less important in the future. Plus, it's quite likely the Kurds will be very pro-western and peaceful. Their primary loyalty is not divided and it's not against us.
  
• Be honest in our dealing with Israel - we don't have that many common interests, but we are friends - it's less like the US and the USSR in WWII and more like the US and Japan in the present day (excepting North Korea)
  

Consequences of The Above

• Lots of blood will be shed - but it will be shed anyway. The key is minimizing it
• People will be uprooted and new vendettas will be started that will last for centuries.
• The Sunni and the Shia factions of the Middle East will have a battleground to fight their proxy wars, much like the Nazis and the Soviets had a battleground in the Spanish Civil War. Then again, they have that now.
  
• American troops will be used in raids and attacks in the loose confederation of what we'll still call Iraq.
• Turkey will be quite angry - but that is manageable and can be minimized by the use of carrots and sticks.
  

I'll have my post on what I was right and wrong about (regarding Iraq that is) later.

Thoughts?

The ongoing Beltline scam

Atlanta functions as a collective conspiracy of real estate developers, but even so , this is a bit much

Beltline park plan a mystery
..
Fulton County Commissioner Emma Darnell, who represents the area, said her constituents repeatedly ask for updates on the park. She's at a loss to offer specific information, even though she serves on the boards of the city's development arm, Atlanta Development Authority, and the city's entity that's overseeing Beltline planning, Atlanta Beltline Inc.

"The No. 1 interest of folks in the area near and around the quarry is what's going on," Darnell said. "That's the big concern right now. Talk to anyone at random in those neighborhoods and they don't have a clue as to what's going on. The city of Atlanta should be able to answer all those questions."

Truth is, all that's certain at this point is that the park is supposed to become a regional attraction, much like Piedmont Park, Atlantic Station and Centennial Olympic Park. Most of the Beltline will be paid for with a projected $1.7 billion in future property taxes collected by three local entities — Atlanta City Council, the Atlanta school board and Fulton County's Board of Commissioners.

Somehow we knew in 2006 how people will want to live 2026, even though in 2007 we don't know what's going on. We also know that they'll want to pay for it then too. Why on earth do people think something that complex and far off is knowable (answer, because they're not spending their own money). It's the real estate version of Iraq really. At least that dealt with present day people.

Infuriating comments

From this CNN.com article

Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer of California, for example, is a sponsor of a bill that would call for troops to come home in 180 days and allow for a minimum number of forces to be left behind to hunt down terrorists and train Iraqi security forces.

"Read the Constitution," Boxer told her colleagues last week. "The Congress has the power to declare war. And on multiple occasions, we used our power to end conflicts."

This idea is coming to her now? It's nauseating how we elect these people. There are countless acts of courage and kindness that happen when the cameras aren't running, but as soon as they start everyone puts their head down and genuflects to the conventional wisdom. Congress gives war making authority to the president, who of course was only enforcing UN resolutions. All to avoid criticism or losing a job, which very few of them need.

That's an odd thing about American; risk taking is private. That's good I suppose.

Global warming is....

the Patriot Act on steroids

Another Bush comparison

As it seems to be the theme for the week, there are odd similarities between Bush and the Ipod. Both are predictable progressions over what came before, people get far too worked up about them, and people use them to talk about themselves.